Since you are in the preliminary stages of your project, you estimate that your project will most probably last 1 year-however, optimistic scenario is that it will get over within 6 months and pessimistic scenario is 18 months. This kind of estimate is also called ______ .
A:definitive B:capital cost C:order of magnitude D:feasibility
You are doing a Monte Carlo Analysis in which you are defining a distribution of possible activity durations for each schedule activity and calculating a distribution of possible outcomes for the total project. Monte Carlo analysis is an example of ______ .
A:resource leveling B:what-if scenario analysis C:schedule network analysis D:critical path method
场景分析(scenario analysis)
As pointed out in Paragraph 3, the "evenly mixed" scenario
A:may fail to reflect the true state of U. S. economy. B:is necessary to give rise to a global rebound. C:may make it clear that the Fed changed its outlook. D:falls short of the expectations of businessmen.
As pointed out in Paragraph 3, the "evenly mixed" scenario
A:may fail to reflect the true state of U.S. economy. B:is necessary to give rise to a global rebound. C:may make it clear that the Fed changed its outlook. D:falls short of the expectations of businesspeople.
What scenario does the author wish for young people when arrive back from their travels
A:A new appreciation for work. B:Work availability. C:A change in ethics. D:A new sense of purpose.
Forecasting Methods
? ?There are several different methods that can be used to create a forecast. The method a forecaster chooses depends Upon the experience of the forecaster, the amount of information available to the forecaster, the level of difficulty that the forecast situation presents, and the degree of accuracy or confidence needed in the forecast.
? ?The first of these methods is the persistence method; the simplest way of producing a forecast. The persistence method assumes that the conditions at the time of the forecast will not change. For example, if it is sunny and 87 degree today, the persistence method predicts that it will be sunny and 87 degree tomorrow. If two inches of rain fell today, the persistence method would predict two inches of rain for tomorrow. ?However, if weather conditions change significantly from day to day, the persistence method usually breaks down and is not the best forecasting method to use.
? ?The trends method involves determining the speed and direction of movement for fronts, high and low pressure centers, and areas of clouds and precipitation. Using this information, the forecaster can predict where he or she expects those features to be at some future time. For example, if a storm system is 1,000 miles west of your location and moving to the east at 250 miles per day, suing the trends method you would predict it to arrive in your area in 4 days. The trends method works well when systems continue to move at the same speed in the same direction for a long period of time. if they slow down, speed up, change intensity, or change direction, the trends forecast will probably not work as well.
? ?The climatology method is another simple way of producing a forecast. This method involves averaging weather statistics accumulated over man years to make the forecast. For ex- ample, if you were using the climatology method to predict the weather for new York City on July 4th, you would go through all the weather data that has been recorded for every July 4th and take an average. The climatology method only works well when the weather pattern is similar to that expected for the chosen time of year. if the pattern is quite unusual for the given time of year, the climatology method will often fail.
? ?The analog method is a slightly more complicated method of producing a forecast. It involves examining today’s forecast scenario and remembering a day in the past when the weather scenario looked very similar (an analog). The forecaster would predict that the weather in this forecast will behave the same as it did in the past. The analog method is difficult to use because it is virtually impossible to find a predict analog. Various weather features rarely align themselves in the same locations they were in the previous time. Even small differences between the current time and the analog can lead to very different results.
It will be impossible to make weather forecast using the analog method______
A:when the current weather scenario differs from the analog B:when the current weather scenario is the same as the analog C:when the analog is over ten years old D:when the analog is a simple repetition of the current weather scenario
用NR覆盖高层楼宇时, NR广播波束场景化建议配置成以下哪项?
A:SCENARTO_1 B:SCENARIO_0 C:SCENARIO_13 D:SCENARIO_6
用NR覆盖高层楼宇时,NR
广播波束场景化建议配置成以下哪
项?
A:SCENARTO_l B:SCENARIO_O C:SCENARI0_13 D:SCENARI0_6